Monte Carlo

Hi Barry - do you have Pertmaster or a similar program? If you do you could run the risk analysis on each of your schedules to get the probablity values 0-100% for each then graph into Excel - is that what you are after?

cheers,

Omar

Hi Omar

what I am trying to achieve is the following

1. I have a baseline program as submitted buy the Contractor. This I am using in P3 as my Target or Baseline
2. I then have my current schedule and to this has been added activities , or scope of work , but shows the same completion date
3. What I need to demonstrate in a Curve is the Front end load of the additional scope and showing that this additional Scope has added or increased the risk of the Projects Completion Date

Regards

Hi Barry, I still think my first suggestion is the best but obviously requires Pertmaster or some similar product which will produce the schedule completion probablity curve for each schedule which can be compared in a table etc. If your front-end activities in the current schedule truly have increased the schedule risk then Pertmaster should (at least in theory!!) highlight those activities as high in cruciality etc. Otherwise, (and I assume both schedules are resource loaded?) dropping the resource loads into Excel for both schedules and comparing the front end loadings? Hope this helps