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Longer-form writing from the community: procedures, opinion, case studies and career advice.
362 articles
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Statistical Uncertainty

Statistics drive decisions in every walk of life, including project management. One of the applications of statistics we’ve been exposed to more than once recently is answering the question how many meals to load on a Qantas flight?

31 Dec 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 5 min read

Blog

The Effect of Randomness and Luck

In our last article You are probably wrong about probability we looked at probability[1]. Randomness is a key ingredient in probability, contributes to luck, affects statistics, and can easily be confused for skill or competence!

2 Dec 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 7 min read

Blog

You are probably wrong about probability

This is the first of four articles based on Leonard Mlodinow's book, The Drunkards Walk; looking at probability, in the next article we will look at randomness, and then how this affects everything in project controls and business. For example, does the Rugby Union world Cup win this week prove that

31 Oct 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 6 min read

Blog

PMP Questions – getting a second opinion.

Most people when faced with a painful decision such as having a leg amputated seek a valid second opinion! Sitting for the PMP exam is no different – regardless of whose course you have completed testing your knowledge against a different set of reputable questions developed by another person is alw

5 Oct 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 4 min read

Blog

PBS -v- WBS, is there a difference?

I was recently involved in a virtual discussion on the Association for Project Management (APM - UK) website around the use and differences between a Product Breakdown Structure (PBS) and a Work Breakdown Structure (WBS). The resulting briefing document produced by the APM is summarised here[1] with

8 Sept 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 6 min read

Blog

What’s the message??

A couple of conversations in the last week or so has highlighted the importance of effective communication if you want anyone to take notice of the project information you have carefully gathered and analysed. Good data, good analysis and good information are useless if no one gets the message.

9 Aug 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 3 min read

Blog

Measuring Culture - a new dimension for PMOs?

On many occasion we, and others, have defined good governance as balancing the needs of stakeholders and the objectives of the organisation to achieve long-term, sustainable value for the majority, if not all, stakeholders (see: Mosaic’s governance archives). From these considerations, Dr. Lynda Bou

12 Jul 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 5 min read

Blog

Why do so many organisations and clients accept bad schedules?

The need for effective planning and scheduling has been recognised for well over 100 years. Projects fail when they overrun the allocated time and budget and overrunning on schedule is a great way to make sure you also overrun on cost.The elements needed to enhance the probability of project success

20 Jun 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 4 min read

Blog

The Truth about CPM Risk Models

Depending on the context this could be a compliment or an insult. During the second world war the Nazi’s used local government leaders to help them impose their brutal regime on conquered countries. The most infamous of these is Vidkun Quisling from Norway. His name has now become synonymous with a…

22 Apr 2015 · uid 0 · 1 min read

Blog

Stakeholder’s Don’t Understand Numbers

Project controls processes and project reports are full of numbers and calculations and one would think that most project stakeholders, particularly senior managers, would see and understand the numbers in the same way. Unfortunately resent research[1]

18 Apr 2015 · Patrick Weaver · 3 min read